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Economic Data Guides

Evergreen guides for major economic indicators. Explains what each series measures, how it fits into the macro picture, and what surprises usually mean for FX, rates, equities, and commodities.

US Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index — Indicator 1.71

The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey-based diffusion index tracking business conditions in the Federal Reserve’s Tenth District, which covers a large swath of the US “heartland” (energy, agriculture, and heavy industry: parts of Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Wyoming, northern New Mexico and western Missouri). It aggregates firms’ responses on production, new […]

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US 2-year Treasury Note Auction — Indicator 1.72

The US 2-year Treasury Note Auction (indicator 1.72) is the primary market sale of new 2-year US government debt. It sets the coupon and, more importantly, the stop-out yield at which the market is willing to fund the US government for two years. Traders watch the stop-out yield versus the pre-auction “when-issued” (WI) yield, the […]

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US 5-year Treasury Note Auction — Indicator 1.73

The 5-year Treasury Note Auction is the US Treasury’s regular sale of new 5-year government debt. It doesn’t measure “activity” like a PMI or CPI; it reveals the price and demand for intermediate-maturity US government bonds. The key outputs are the stop-out yield (the yield at which the auction clears), the bid-to-cover ratio (how much […]

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US 10-year Treasury Note Auction — Indicator 1.74

The 10-year Treasury Note Auction is the primary issuance of the US government’s benchmark medium-to-long maturity bond. It sets the “stop-out yield” at which the Treasury successfully sells a new batch of 10-year notes to the market. This sits in the core of the rates complex alongside the 2-year and 5-year note auctions (1.72, 1.73) […]

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US 30-year Treasury Bond Auction — Indicator 1.75

The 30-year Treasury Bond Auction (indicator 1.75) is the US government’s primary issuance of ultra-long-dated debt. It sets the marginal price for the 30-year “risk-free” rate, which anchors the very long end of the US yield curve. This matters for pension liabilities, insurance balance sheets, long-duration mortgages, infrastructure financing, and equity valuation models that discount […]

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