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Net Present Value Rule

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What is the Net Present Value Rule?
– The Net Present Value (NPV) rule states that a manager or investor should accept any project or investment with a positive NPV and reject any project with a negative NPV. When NPV = 0, the project neither increases nor decreases wealth and managers may rely on non‑financial considerations to decide.
– NPV measures how much value a project will add to the firm by converting future expected cash flows into today’s dollars and comparing that present value to the initial investment.

Why NPV matters (intuition)
Time value of money: A dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow because today’s dollar can be invested to earn returns.
– NPV quantifies the expected increase (or decrease) in shareholder wealth after accounting for the opportunity cost of the capital used (the discount rate).
– If NPV > 0, the project is expected to earn more than the required return and thus increases firm value.

Mathematical definition
– NPV = Σ (CFt) / (1 + r)^t, summed from t = 0 to N,
• where CFt = cash flow at time t (CF0 is usually negative = initial investment),
• r = discount rate (commonly the project’s required return or the firm’s WACC if appropriate),
• N = final year of the project (or the project horizon).
– Interpretation:
• NPV > 0 → accept the project (creates value)
• NPV = 0 → indifferent (project earns exactly the required return)
• NPV 0, accept; if NPV 0).
– Correct application depends on careful estimation of incremental cash flows, selecting an appropriate discount rate, and accounting for risk, taxes, working capital, and terminal values.
– Use sensitivity analysis, consider real options and business strategy, and be mindful of capital constraints and governance issues.

Sources and further reading
– Investopedia — “NPV Rule” (Theresa Chiechi).
– Damodaran, A. — Valuation and corporate finance resources. /
– Brealey, R. A., Myers, S. C., & Allen, F. — Principles of Corporate Finance (standard academic text on capital budgeting and NPV).
CFA Institute — Corporate Finance and Capital Budgeting reading materials.

– Walk through a customized NPV example using your own project numbers;
– Build an NPV template (Excel layout) you can use to test scenarios; or
– Explain how to select a project‑specific discount rate for a particular business unit or project.

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